"The biggest competitor to Grand Theft Auto 6 will be Grand Theft Auto 5," says industry analyst, because AAA is struggling against the live-service behemoths it created years ago

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"It's wild times to be trying to make new video games"

GTA 6
(Image credit: Rockstar Games)

GTA 6 is like a meteor – no publisher wants their upcoming game's release to be obliterated by its starpower, but in terms of legitimate competition, Rockstar might be its own worst enemy.

That's according to Circana games industry analyst Mat Piscatella, who recently told GamesRadar+ "there's more games, but a smaller pie" in 2025. Now, Piscatella says in a new interview with GamesIndustry.biz that he thinks "the biggest competitor to Grand Theft Auto 6 will be Grand Theft Auto 5."

There's still the issue of GTA 6 being a new game, however. Piscatella remarks that "every IP holder is trying to get their IP into a Fortnite or into a Minecraft rather than building out their own games, because they know that's where the audience is." We can't ignore the fact that Grand Theft Auto has a gargantuan playerbase of its own, of course, but only time can reveal how much of it shows up for GTA 6 – and for how long.

Ashley Bardhan
Ashley Bardhan
Senior Writer

Ashley is a Senior Writer at GamesRadar+. She's been a staff writer at Kotaku and Inverse, too, and she's written freelance pieces about horror and women in games for sites like Rolling Stone, Vulture, IGN, and Polygon. When she's not covering gaming news, she's usually working on expanding her doll collection while watching Saw movies one through 11.

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