Microsoft has boldly stated that it plans to sell 3 million Kinect units in two months. That would be a blisteringly high level of launch sales, but now Nintendo is taking it a step further by predicting 4 million 3DS sales in just one month. That's a lot of 'D's.
But can they do it? The interwebs are all abuzz today over the just-revealed launch details, and far and away the most surprising nugget of intel is the price - around $300 for the Japanese market when it hits there first in February.
Above: Will cash-strapped Americans fork over around double the launch price of the original DS for a 3DS?
Nintendo hates Virtual Boy comparisons, but one factor always cited regarding the Virtual Boy's demise was its high price ($180, 15 years ago). The preliminary price of the 3DS is even higher than the launch price of the $250 Wii, and the $200 Gamecube, so if that $300 price tag does come over to the US, it'll be the most expensive Nintendo system ever to launch here. Even if Nintendo knocks down the price by $70 or $80, it'll still be the highest-priced portable console the company has ever introduced.
Above: One thing Nintendo does have in its favor - a potentially five-star launch game lineup
Back in June, analyst Michael Pachter said that he believes the 3DS will easily sell 10 million units at any price below $300. And EEDAR games analyst Jesse Divnich isn't worried about the high price point, because he believes the features are worth it:
"The higher price point allows Nintendo to incorporate new features such as 3D movies, camera, and game support as well as incorporating a more robust online network to aid Nintendo in evolving their product from a single-use, games only platform to supporting the plethora of media and entertainment options that consumers have become accustom to using on their handheld devices such as the PSP, Smart Phones, and Tablet Computers."
That all may be true, but for the sake of argument: Nintendo's a company with runaway success... then it launches an expensive, technologically impressive system and expects massive sales. We kind of remember seeing this before with the PS3. It didn't work out so well for Sony.
What do you say - would you buy a $300 3DS on launch day? Would it make a difference if it was less expensive?
Sep 29, 2010
Nintendo 3DS has potentially amazing, wallet-crippling launch line-up, our pennies start to weep
Get ready to sell some non vital organs. You're gonna need the cash
Nintendo 3DS launch date and price confirmed, rejoice and be merry fellow gamers
The headlines? It'll launch in Japan on Feb 26th for 25, 000 yen, with a March date for the US and UK likely
E3 2010: Hands-on with Nintendo 3DS
Pilotwings, Kid Icarus, Metal Gear and more