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Here’s who is most likely to die in Game of Thrones season 8 (according to science!)

Game of Thrones season 8 (opens in new tab) and its leading players may have a lot going for it, but they can’t argue with cold, hard numbers. Almost as unforgiving as the White Walkers themselves, an algorithm developed by a data scientist has revealed who is most likely to kick the bucket before all is said and done. Spoilers below… I guess?

DataRobot’s Taylor Larkin has crunched the numbers and charted the lives (and deaths) of over 2,000 Westerosi residents (H/T EW (opens in new tab)) to map out who might make it – and who might perish. The algorithm, which takes into account a number of underlying factors including gender, age and whether you’re a Targaryen across 2000 wiki entries, churned out some interesting findings.

Men are more than likely to die, as are the elderly. The amount of branches already pruned from your family tree plays a huge role, too. Which makes some of the following results less-than-surprising:

Daenerys Targaryen – 83.77% chance of death

Jaime Lannister – 72.91% chance of death

Tyrion Lannister – 70.76% chance of death

Bran Stark – 66.02% chance of death

Cersei Lannister – 60.39% chance of death

Jon Snow – 58.99% chance of death

Euron Greyjoy – 54.95% chance of death

Sansa Stark – 50.28% chance of death

Arya Stark – 49.04% chance of death

Gendry – 39.87% chance of death

I can’t be the only who finds it hilarious that literal science has absolutely no clue whether Sansa is making it out of the season alive, but, most interesting, is the top three.

Dany, Jaime, and Tyrion all have data-based bullseyes on their backs and have a very good chance of dying in Game of Thrones season 8. The others that are more likely than not to die include Bran, Cersei, Euron, and Jon (again, poor thing).

Any Gendry fans can rest easy (we hope). The eternal rower should be safe once all is said and done. As for the rest? Let’s pray science is wrong. Please, just this once?

It gets better: there's a whole host of Game of Thrones season 8 theories (opens in new tab) for you to sink your teeth into. And make you cry.

I'm the Entertainment Writer here at GamesRadar+, focusing on news, features, and interviews with some of the biggest names in film and TV. On-site, you'll find me marveling at Marvel and providing analysis and room temperature takes on the newest films, Star Wars and, of course, anime. Outside of GR, I love getting lost in a good 100-hour JRPG, Warzone, and kicking back on the (virtual) field with Football Manager. My work has also been featured in OPM, FourFourTwo, and Game Revolution.